Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.003168 0.003463 0.003778 0.004139 0.004543 0.004981 0.005495
2025-12-21 0.002616 0.003022 0.003483 0.004052 0.004737 0.005541 0.006564
2025-12-28 0.002307 0.002764 0.003307 0.004009 0.004900 0.006005 0.007498
2026-01-04 0.002116 0.002609 0.003219 0.004037 0.005121 0.006531 0.008537
2026-01-11 0.001934 0.002442 0.003089 0.003986 0.005218 0.006886 0.009369
2026-01-18 0.001791 0.002309 0.002985 0.003951 0.005321 0.007244 0.010229
2026-01-25 0.001665 0.002186 0.002882 0.003901 0.005391 0.007551 0.011036
2026-02-01 0.001576 0.002104 0.002826 0.003909 0.005538 0.007976 0.012062
2026-02-08 0.001480 0.002006 0.002738 0.003860 0.005591 0.008258 0.012886
2026-02-15 0.001388 0.001907 0.002641 0.003789 0.005602 0.008470 0.013607
2026-02-22 0.001331 0.001854 0.002607 0.003808 0.005751 0.008913 0.014774
2026-03-01 0.001298 0.001834 0.002619 0.003898 0.006019 0.009572 0.016405
2026-03-08 0.001226 0.001754 0.002539 0.003843 0.006054 0.009859 0.017422
2026-03-15 0.001154 0.001669 0.002448 0.003763 0.006043 0.010066 0.018326
2026-03-22 0.001097 0.001605 0.002384 0.003724 0.006095 0.010391 0.019508
2026-03-29 0.001059 0.001568 0.002361 0.003750 0.006264 0.010947 0.021249
2026-04-05 0.001009 0.001509 0.002298 0.003703 0.006295 0.011240 0.022466
2026-04-12 0.000966 0.001459 0.002247 0.003671 0.006350 0.011584 0.023845
2026-04-19 0.000923 0.001407 0.002190 0.003625 0.006374 0.011866 0.025124
2026-04-26 0.000894 0.001375 0.002164 0.003632 0.006500 0.012372 0.027022
2026-05-03 0.000857 0.001329 0.002112 0.003587 0.006519 0.012650 0.028399
2026-05-10 0.000819 0.001280 0.002051 0.003523 0.006492 0.012825 0.029538
2026-05-17 0.000797 0.001256 0.002034 0.003541 0.006636 0.013394 0.031829